Tag Archives: dollar

Dec 18, 2018

Large Caps Lag In Rebounds

The entire U.S, equity market lost on Monday, Dec. 17, 2018, meaning every one of the 42 segments by size, sector and style finished negative for the day.  This was the second day in a row with losses across the board.  From Oct. 10-11, 2018 was the last time two consecutive days with all losses…

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Mar 1, 2018

Where May Equities Go From Here?

February ended the longest historical monthly winning streak of 15 months for the S&P 500 (TR) that lost 3.7%.  On a total return basis for the month, 10 of 11 sectors lost, which has only happened in 12 of 342 months or 3.5% of the time (all 11 lost together in 13 months for a…

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Jun 13, 2017

Inflation, Rising Rates Can Spark Oil’s Rebound

In anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting starting Wednesday that may raise the federal funds target rate, here’s what you need to know about how the decision impacts commodities. Historically rising interest rates are positive for commodities for two main reasons.  One is the return on collateral increases, pushing up the total return. The other reason…

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Jun 27, 2016

Gold Shines With Its Biggest 2-Day Gain Since 2011

According to my colleague, Howard Silverblatt, Senior Index Analyst, “The S&P 500 posted a $317.2 billion fall, after Friday’s $656.9, making the two-day fall $974.2 billion – the third worst on record.  The 2-day point drop of 112.79 was the second worst point drop on record, and on a percentage basis, the 5.37% decline for 2-days is…

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Feb 2, 2015

No Alchemy Needed

In January 2015, the total return of the S&P 500 Index was -3.0%.  We published this number last Friday evening, after January trading ended, and of course it’s been widely reported since then.  It may therefore surprise you to learn that some investors in the S&P 500 reaped a total return of +4.0% in January….

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Jan 6, 2015

A Strong U.S. Dollar Isn’t Bad For All Commodities

A strong US dollar is generally bad news for commodities since historically as the U.S dollar strengthens, goods priced in dollars become more expensive for other currencies. The historical negative relationship between the U.S. dollar and the S&P GSCI is shown below. While the broad based indices are negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar, some commodities are more…

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Oct 25, 2013

Money Grows on THESE Trees

My parents used to tell me that money doesn’t grow on trees, but they didn’t know about the Eucalyptus trees in Australia like the one shown below. The science journal, Nature Communications, reported Eucalyptus trees in western and southern Australia absorb gold through their roots and transport it up all the way through their leaves….

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Jul 2, 2013

June 2013: What’s Hot and What’s Not

Read about some commodity highlights in June from an interview with Courtney Nebons, our studio producer.  Click here to watch the video. Q1.  This month we heard a lot about the Fed easing its monetary policy, so how did that impact commodities? Commodities reacted negatively to the news that the Fed may ease its bond…

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Jun 21, 2013

Risky Assets, Safe Havens, or Lost Identities?

All commodities in the S&P GSCI and the DJ-UBS CI crashed on June 20, 2013, losing 3.1% and 3.0%, respectively, after the Fed declared the U.S. economy was expanding strongly enough for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of its bond-buying stimulus later this year.  This is generally bad news for commodities since historically…

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