Tag Archives: S&P 500

How Low Volatility Could Make You “King of the Mountains”

The world’s most prestigious cycling race, the Tour de France, begins tomorrow.  The tour lasts three weeks and comprises a series of one-day stages.  Although the main prize – the yellow jersey – is awarded to the rider that takes the minimum amount of time to complete the entire tour, there are plenty of races Read more […]

Small Cap Premium Is 5th Biggest In History

Small caps are outperforming large caps (S&P 600 (TR) – S&P 500 (TR)) in H1 2018 by the most in eight years, since H1 2010, from growing  concerns over rising tariffs and general U.S. foreign trade policy. In the past four months, the smaller companies have outperformed larger companies by 10.1%, contributing to the 5th biggest Read more […]

Can small-cap outperformance continue?

Small caps have materially outperformed large caps in 2018, with the S&P SmallCap 600 outpacing the S&P 500 7.80% to 2.58% between Dec. 29, 2017, and May 25, 2018.1 Below, I highlight what I believe to be the drivers of small-cap returns this year, and why I believe the trend could continue. Tax cuts have Read more […]

Sector performance and economic cycles: When do sectors have the potential to shine?

Where we stand in the economic cycle can have a measurable effect on sector performance There are many determinants of stock performance. Corporate earnings, fiscal policy and interest rates can all influence the equity markets. But equity returns are also dependent on where we stand in the economic cycle. Some sectors, such as industrials and Read more […]

Women May Nurse This Old Stock Market Bull

“Not enough progress has been made in closing the gender gap, and in fact, in some countries, you have seen gender inequality increasing…” – Ángel Gurría, secretary-general of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). This was the opening of a recent speech at #WomenRule by Politico on a paper newly published by S&P Read more […]

Small Caps Beating Large By The Most In 16 Years

Small caps just outperformed large caps for three consecutive months for the first time since Sep. 2016.  From Feb. through May, the S&P SmallCap 600 (TR) outpaced the S&P 500 (TR) by 9.5%. It is the biggest premium realized in a three month period since the three months ending in May 2002.  In fact, outperformance this big has only happened Read more […]

Sector Volatility Conveys Most (But Not All) of the Story in the Latest S&P 500 Low Volatility Index Rebalance

In January 2018, realized volatility (rolling 252-day) for the S&P 500 reached a 27-year low. Since then, volatility has been steadily creeping up and as of April 30, 2018, it sat at 12.1%—almost double the levels in January. Despite having increased significantly, volatility is still well below the historical average of 16%. Rolling 252-Day Volatility Read more […]

A First Look Inside The Communication Services Select Sector Index

In accordance with the announced upcoming communication services sector change, the new Communication Services Select Sector Index is now live.  The select sectors are based on the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®) but have different construction rules than the sectors of the S&P 500.  In the Select Sectors, each index is made up of all Read more […]

Here’s How A Rising Dollar Impacts Stocks

The U.S. dollar hit a 4 month high last week from concern over potentially faster interest rate hikes to control inflation as oil exceeded $70 per barrel and the lowest unemployment since 2000 was reported.  If the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen, it may be useful to know how U.S. equities moved historically in times when the Read more […]

Energy Powers Small Cap And Value In April

In April, the S&P 500 (TR) gained 0.4%, ending its first consecutive monthly loss in almost two years, but the index is still down 0.4% year-to-date (ending April 30, 2018.)  Mid caps are also down for the year, -1.0%, after the S&P 400 (TR) lost 0.3% in April.  However, Small caps pushed into positive territory, up now 1.6% Read more […]