Tag Archives: energy
The S&P GSCI Cooled in April as Inflation Cooled
The S&P GSCI fell 0.8% in April as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), fell slightly on a year-over-year basis to 4.6%. Continued elevated readings of inflation, albeit cooling, led to market expectations that the Fed would hike rates again in May to bring inflation back to its 2% target. Commodities…
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A Fast Start to 2023 for the S&P China 500 – Returning 5.0% in Q1
The S&P China 500 gained 5.0% in Q1 2023, continuing to claw back some of the losses exhibited in 2022. Developed markets broadly had a strong quarter, with Chinese equities underperforming global equities while outperforming emerging markets. Communication Services led sector performance for the start of 2023, up over 20%. Energy and Information Technology also…
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The “Devil’s Metal” Vanishes, Precious Metals Shine and Energy Dims: Commodities Quarterly Wrap
“Jamie ran on down to the LME, but the devil caught him there, He took Mr. Dimon’s Nickel bags and vanished in the air, Set out running but I’ll take my time, A friend of the devil is a friend of mine” -adaptation of Grateful Dead’s “Friend of the Devil” Just one year after the…
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Commodities Flat in January After Second-Best Yearly Performance in Two Decades
The 24 individual commodities comprising the S&P GSCI finished the first month of 2023 with divergent performance. This echoed the uncertain path forward regarding inflation expectations. Half outperformed, with industrial metals leading the way, while the other half declined, with natural gas tanking, as European countries filled their tanks to their brims. Gold had one…
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When the Winds Change
“Change is the investor’s only certainty.” Thomas Rowe Price, Jr. 2022 marked several major changes in market trends amid a substantial shift in global macroeconomic regimes. After historic levels of stimulus, multi-decade highs in inflation across several major economies led to monetary tightening. This shift weighed on asset classes in many regions, and traditional routes…
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Contextualizing Style Shifts
The S&P U.S. Style Indices are designed to provide broad and exhaustive exposure to the market’s value and growth segments. Our index methodology bifurcates a parent index’s market capitalization into roughly equal portions on the third Friday in December, using six measures shown in Exhibit 1. Although the composition of style indices changes every year,…
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Commodities Outperform for the Second Year in a Row
The market standard commodities benchmark, the S&P GSCI, performed admirably in 2022, rising 26%, outpacing other commodities indices and asset classes, as well as defying higher interest rates and growing fears of a prolonged global economic slowdown, while high inflation provided a solid backdrop for one of the most inflation-sensitive asset classes. Commodities has been…
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Commodities Challenged by Slowing Global Growth in November
Commodities, represented by the broad-based S&P GSCI, fell 1.7% in November on the back of weakness in the petroleum and grains complexes. Global commodities markets were particularly hit this month by worries over rare demonstrations in China against COVID-19 curbs, with oil and grains falling to multi-month lows and safe-haven gold rising. After 11 months,…
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Watch Your Weighting Scheme
2022 has witnessed a recalibration across financial markets, as investors have digested the impact of higher interest rates amid elevated inflation. Despite bouts of optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve would take a more dovish stance, and better-than-expected corporate earnings, Exhibit 1 shows that the vast majority of large-, mid- and small-cap indices declined through…
Petroleum Helped the S&P GSCI Gain 6.7% in October
Commodities, represented by the broad-based S&P GSCI, rose 6.7% in October on the back of strength in the petroleum complex. During the month, the director of the International Energy Agency said the world is in the middle of “the first truly global energy crisis.” All petroleum constituents rose by double-digit percentage points. Livestock also rose,…
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