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brian-luke

Brian Luke

Senior Director, Head of Commodities, Real & Digital Assets, S&P Dow Jones Indices

Brian Luke is Head of Commodities, Real & Digital Assets at S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI). With over 20 years of trading, asset management and index experience, Brian leads S&P DJI’s global commodity, real estate and digital asset indices, which include the S&P GSCI Series, S&P Case Shiller Home Price Indices, Halifax House Price Index and S&P Broad Digital Assets. These indices are leading measures of the commodity and real and digital asset markets.
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Mar 4, 2024

Food Inflation Bites into Income as Commodities March Higher

Inflation continues to impact consumers and policymakers in negative ways. Hedging through broad commodities has proven to buffer portfolio returns, with the S&P GSCI up 5.38% this year. Going into the year, expectations of Fed rate cuts and continued declines in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) pushed inflation concerns aside. Since then, markets have experienced…

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Jan 3, 2024

Twenty-First Century Fox: DJCI Gold Tops Stocks and Bonds This Century

The equity markets roared to the finish line, easily passing commodities and bonds with a 26.3% return for the S&P 500® in 2023. Much of that rally could be attributed to declining consumer price indices and favorable Federal Reserve guidance, with increased confidence in a soft landing. Declining inflation can best be observed at the…

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Dec 5, 2023

Gold Hits All-Time Highs and DJCI Silver Tops 10% in November

“Silver and gold, silver and gold, Everyone wishes for silver and gold.” -Burl Ives My all-time favorite stop-motion animation show was the 1964 TV special Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer, narrated by Burl Ives. Playing the role of Sam the Snowman, Ives sang “Silver and Gold,” paying tribute to the work of Yukon Cornelius, a prospector…

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Nov 2, 2023

Previewing the 2024 S&P GSCI Rebalance: Big Oil’s Mojo Is Back

Long-time investors in products linked to the S&P GSCI remain keenly aware of the outsized role oil has in broad commodity performance. Reviewing the projected weights of the 2024 S&P GSCI rebalance oil is expected to remain the largest commodity in the index. WTI and Brent crude oil are projected to swap positions and collectively…

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Sep 5, 2023

D-FENCE! Investigating Commodity Performance under a Defensive Fed

I love this time of year. August vacations are over, the kids are back in school and football season kicks off in the U.S. The Fed took its August “vacation” at the Jackson Hole Symposium, where Jerome Powell’s remarks singularly focused on price stability. Inflation has come down but “remains too high” and the Fed…

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Jul 5, 2023

S&P GSCI Mid-Year Recap and Lithium Added to S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle Metals Index

Surging futures activity on CME Group’s lithium contract allowed for entry into the S&P GSCI Electric Vehicle (EV) Metals Index. This milestone reflects the changing nature of indices to maintain a representative share of the global commodities market. The largest and most recognizable benchmark for commodities, the S&P GSCI, reviews contract eligibility for existing and…

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Jun 1, 2023

Hedging Debt Ceiling Drama with the S&P GSCI SOFR and S&P GSCI Gold

The debt ceiling debate in Washington appears to be nearing an end. According to the U.S. Treasury, Congress has “always acted when called upon” and markets will look for them to do so for the 79th time this month. By index rule, all commodities in the S&P GSCI are traded in U.S. dollars, so the…

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Apr 3, 2023

The “Devil’s Metal” Vanishes, Precious Metals Shine and Energy Dims: Commodities Quarterly Wrap

“Jamie ran on down to the LME, but the devil caught him there, He took Mr. Dimon’s Nickel bags and vanished in the air, Set out running but I’ll take my time, A friend of the devil is a friend of mine” -adaptation of Grateful Dead’s “Friend of the Devil” Just one year after the…

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Mar 21, 2023

Indexing Bond and Commodity Markets in the World of the Upside Down

In the 80s nostalgia Netflix hit series “Stranger Things,” the town of Hawkins is haunted by an alternate world beneath. The protagonists battle monsters in what they call the upside down. For the first few seasons, the upside down wreaks havoc on just a few residents of Hawkins. By the last season, no one is…

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Feb 6, 2023

Good Things Come in Threes: Muni Bonds Appear Ripe for 2023

With one month down in 2023, let’s track the performance of municipal bonds so far: as of Jan. 31, 2023, the yield for the S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index was at roughly 3% (3.02% to be exact). The total return was up about 3% for January (2.87% to be exact), putting a dent in…

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