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timothy_edwards

Tim Edwards

Managing Director, Index Investment Strategy, S&P Dow Jones Indices

Tim Edwards is Managing Director and Global Head of Index Investment Strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI). The group provides research and commentary on S&P DJI’s entire product set, including U.S. and global equities, commodities, fixed income, and economic indices. ​
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Mar 19, 2025

Waiting for a Bear

The S&P 500® recently entered a “correction,” a term used when the price index falls by more than 10% from its highs. It may yet decline further, the fact of which might tempt market participants to delay equity purchases until, say, the index has declined by 20%—which would define the start of a “bear market.”…

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Jan 8, 2025

Shifting Tides: Concentration, Dispersion and the S&P 500 Risk Landscape

Since the 2010s, the dynamics of large-cap U.S. equity risks have shifted. Fifteen years ago, the market was dominated by cycles alternating between risk-taking and risk aversion, often referred to as a “risk-on/risk-off” dynamic. A key feature of this period was the higher correlation between stock and sector performance, especially during market downturns. Exhibit 1…

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Nov 5, 2024

A VIX for Single Stocks Is Alive and Ticking

For over 30 years, market participants have used the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX®) to gauge expectations for future volatility and measure short-term market sentiment. Today, VIX is a world-renowned measure that was linked to over USD 1 trillion in listed trading activity in 2023. However, it does not encompass all the risks in U.S. equities,…

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Oct 10, 2024

Did Stock Pickers Struggle? Can Bond Managers Boast? The Mid-Year SPIVA Results Are In!

After global equity and bond markets soared in 2023, this year began on somewhat rockier ground. Valuations were more stretched, dispersion was rising and roughly half of the world’s population was facing uncertain election results. Many concluded that, among other predictions, active management was set to shine in 2024. The performance of actively managed funds…

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Apr 10, 2024

Turtle Returns: The Hare and the Tortoise

The tale of a footrace between a determined tortoise and a swift but ultimately complacent hare has been with us for a long time. The earliest known version is two and a half thousand years old; it begins with the hare mocking the tortoise’s slow feet, which leads to a challenge and a contest, and…

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Sep 27, 2023

Introducing the Dispersion Index (DSPX)

At 9:45 am Eastern Time on Sept. 27, 2023, a new index began publishing under the ticker DSPXSM, with an initial live value of 26.81. This index, the Cboe S&P 500® Dispersion Index (the Dispersion Index to its friends), might be loosely described as a “VIX® for dispersion.” But what is it? Why is it…

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Apr 17, 2023

SPIVA Europe 2022: Singing the Bear Market Blues

After 83% of euro-denominated pan-regional equity funds failed to outperform the S&P Europe 350® in the 10 years leading up to the start of 2022, last year brought an intriguing change in the market winds, including the end of near-zero interest rates and, along with it, higher hopes for stock-picking. There was higher dispersion and,…

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Mar 8, 2023

SPIVA U.S. Scorecard 2022: Fewer Excuses

For over a decade, our SPIVA® Scorecards have shown a majority of actively managed U.S. large-cap equity funds underperforming the S&P 500®. According to the freshly published SPIVA U.S. Year-End 2022 Scorecard, the annual underperformance rate dropped to the slimmest of margins last year: just 51% of large-cap U.S. managers lagged the S&P 500 in…

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Jan 11, 2023

A Spider Spins a SPIVA Special

Thirty years ago, Bill Clinton was getting ready for his inauguration as the 42nd U.S. president, the S&P 500® closed a little over 430 and the latest edition of Business Week was trumpeting that 1993 would be “The Year of Picking Wisely” in the stock market. Meanwhile, a different kind of security was about to…

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Sep 8, 2022

SPIVA Institutional and the Pharaohs of Finance

Ptolemy I (367 BC-282 BC), one-time companion of Alexander the Great and later pharaoh of Egypt, has an important role in intellectual history. Among other contributions, he is credited with founding the library at Alexandria, one of the seven wonders of the ancient world, and for personally sponsoring the work of Euclid, a mathematician whose…

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