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Nick Kalivas

Senior Equity Product Strategist, Invesco

Nick Kalivas is a Senior Equity Product Strategist for Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC, a registered investment advisor that sponsors the PowerShares family of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Invesco PowerShares is Leading the Intelligent ETF Revolution, a new generation of ETFs.
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Jun 27, 2018

Can small-cap outperformance continue?

Small caps have materially outperformed large caps in 2018, with the S&P SmallCap 600 outpacing the S&P 500 7.80% to 2.58% between Dec. 29, 2017, and May 25, 2018.1 Below, I highlight what I believe to be the drivers of small-cap returns this year, and why I believe the trend could continue. Tax cuts have…

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Jun 21, 2018

Sector performance and economic cycles: When do sectors have the potential to shine?

Where we stand in the economic cycle can have a measurable effect on sector performance There are many determinants of stock performance. Corporate earnings, fiscal policy and interest rates can all influence the equity markets. But equity returns are also dependent on where we stand in the economic cycle. Some sectors, such as industrials and…

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Feb 16, 2018

What do inventories tell us about the economy?

Declining inventories and rising industrial production may create a strong backdrop for value and momentum strategies Falling business inventory ratios have often been a positive economic indicator. With business inventory levels on the decline, value and momentum strategies could be poised to outperform. A strategy that combines value and momentum could serve as a useful…

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Jan 29, 2018

Could Tax Reform Benefit Consumer Spending?

Investment strategies featuring the quality factor could benefit from current trends in consumer spending Retail sales surged by more than 5% in December, eclipsing previous highs. Consumer spending could be further bolstered by recently enacted federal tax cuts. Investment strategies that include the quality factor could benefit from higher consumer spending. Advance estimates of US…

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May 11, 2017

Cheap for a reason? Beware the value trap

What is a value trap? While value can be an appealing investment strategy, identifying value opportunities is not as easy as it might appear. One of the drawbacks of value investing is the so-called “value trap.” A value trap occurs when a stock appears cheap, but is trading at low multiples due to underlying problems…

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Jan 27, 2017

Using Factor Analysis to Explain the Performance of Dividend Strategies

Factor tilts have resulted in divergent dividend strategy performance following the November elections November’s US elections have buoyed investor optimism about the potential for tax reform, increased infrastructure spending, reduced regulation and accelerating economic growth. These expectations led to a 0.75% spike in the 10-year Treasury yield between Nov. 8 and Dec. 16, and a…

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Nov 4, 2016

Examining Sector and Factor Performance in the Third Quarter of 2016

High beta, value factors among the star performers, while low volatility lags amid heightened appetite for risk The high beta, value and size factors outperformed the broad-market S&P 500 Index by a sizeable margin during the third quarter, with the S&P 500 High Beta Index gaining 12.18% during the three-month period – outpacing all other…

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Oct 31, 2016

Examining Low Volatility’s Performance in Various Market Environments

Rates, volatility and a broad market rally have contributed to the factor’s late-summer slump Late summer has not been fruitful for the low volatility factor. From July 6 to Sept. 9, the S&P 500 Low Volatility Index has fallen by 4.67%, while the S&P 500 Index gained 1.70%.1 This is in sharp contrast to the…

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Oct 21, 2016

A long time coming: Real estate moves out from under the shadow of financials – Part 2

Interest rates have influenced the performance of REITs relative to bank shares Interest rates have a strong influence on equity REIT performance, as evidenced by the graphic below, which displays the relationship between the 10-year Treasury yield and the relative performance of the S&P 500 Banks Index to the S&P 500 Real Estate Investment Trusts…

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Sep 30, 2016

A long time coming: Real estate moves out from under the shadow of financials – Part 1

Real estate’s new sector status uncovers key differences between REITs and financial stocks As of Sept. 1, S&P and MSCI have established real estate as the 11th sector within the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) by separating it from the financials sector. Under this arrangement, real estate investment trusts (REITs) are now classified as follows:…

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