Tag Archives: S&P GSCI
From Cocoa to Gold: The S&P GSCI’s Top Performers in 2024 and Seasonal Trends in 2025
Following the close of 2024, the S&P GSCI continued its strong performance into the new year, ending January 2025 up 3.3%. As we move deeper into Q1, we dig into the reasons behind the S&P GSCI’s leaders and laggards in 2024 and the seasonality inherent to commodity futures performance. In 2024, the top three performers…
- Categories Commodities
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- Commodities
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The Market Measure
Explore the dynamics that drove performance trends around the world in 2024 as well as the potential implications of all-time highs for market participants.
- Categories Commodities, Equities, Fixed Income, S&P 500 & DJIA
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Drill Baby Drill: Commodity Performance in U.S. Election Years
Following one of the more politically volatile months of this election year, commodity performance has delivered mixed results. The S&P GSCI Gold rallied 4.3%, while the S&P GSCI Crude Oil fell by the same amount. However, both gold and oil remained firmly up on the year, registering gains of 17.3% and 16.5%, respectively. Overall, they…
- Categories Commodities
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- Commodities
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Commodities Deliver Double-Digit Returns in the Face of Stubborn Inflation
Commodity markets remain on top of the asset class leader board with inflation drawing the ire of the Fed and other asset classes. The upside surprise in U.S. inflation spotlights the potential benefits of commodities as a diversification tool. The S&P GSCI, the leading indicator of broad commodity performance, has produced double-digit returns in 2024,…
- Categories Commodities
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- Commodities
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Energy Pumps up the S&P GSCI and Markets Go Cuckoo for Cocoa
“I think it’s from all those dog-gone cocoa beans. Hey, by the way, did you guys know that chocolate contains a property that triggers the release of endorphins? Gives one the feeling of being in love.” -Willy Wonka, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (2005) Inflation presented a direct hit to consumers at the pump, with…
- Categories Commodities
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Food Inflation Bites into Income as Commodities March Higher
Inflation continues to impact consumers and policymakers in negative ways. Hedging through broad commodities has proven to buffer portfolio returns, with the S&P GSCI up 5.38% this year. Going into the year, expectations of Fed rate cuts and continued declines in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) pushed inflation concerns aside. Since then, markets have experienced…
- Categories Commodities
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- Commodities
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Twenty-First Century Fox: DJCI Gold Tops Stocks and Bonds This Century
The equity markets roared to the finish line, easily passing commodities and bonds with a 26.3% return for the S&P 500® in 2023. Much of that rally could be attributed to declining consumer price indices and favorable Federal Reserve guidance, with increased confidence in a soft landing. Declining inflation can best be observed at the…
- Categories Commodities
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Previewing the 2024 S&P GSCI Rebalance: Big Oil’s Mojo Is Back
Long-time investors in products linked to the S&P GSCI remain keenly aware of the outsized role oil has in broad commodity performance. Reviewing the projected weights of the 2024 S&P GSCI rebalance oil is expected to remain the largest commodity in the index. WTI and Brent crude oil are projected to swap positions and collectively…
- Categories Commodities
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Diversifying Commodities Rise 16% in Q3 2023 as Equities Drop
Commodities, as represented by the S&P GSCI, rose over 4% in September and 16% in Q3 2023. This highlighted the potential diversification qualities of this asset class, as equities and fixed income both fell during the month. Commodities’ low correlations to other asset classes can provide a cushion when other higher-allocated asset classes drop during…
- Categories Commodities
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D-FENCE! Investigating Commodity Performance under a Defensive Fed
I love this time of year. August vacations are over, the kids are back in school and football season kicks off in the U.S. The Fed took its August “vacation” at the Jackson Hole Symposium, where Jerome Powell’s remarks singularly focused on price stability. Inflation has come down but “remains too high” and the Fed…
- Categories Commodities
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- Commodities
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