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Tag Archives: 2025

Dec 18, 2025

Cautioning the Clairvoyant

December is typically when we hear Wall Street strategists announce their forecasts for the S&P 500® for the year ahead, and this year has been no exception: 2026 forecasts have ranged from a relatively bearish 7,100 from Bank of America to a bullish 8,000 from Deutsche Bank. But how accurate have these forecasts been in…

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Dec 15, 2025

Factors for All Markets

Recently, much of the financial media has been occupied with discussing the potential of a bubble in markets. Some have compared the current sentiment to the “animal spirits” of the late 1990s.1 Proponents of this view cite stretched valuations, retail-driven speculation and the circularity of transactions as evidence to support their claims. Whether or not…

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Dec 1, 2025

Values in the Vault

The S&P 500® Christian Values Screened Index distinguishes itself by excluding companies from the S&P 500 that engage in certain activities that do not align with the Evangelical Christian Investment Framework defined by Bountiful Financial. This framework employs specific exclusions based on S&P Global Energy Horizons revenue-based business involvement screens,1 catering to market participants who…

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Nov 19, 2025

Above Mexico’s Stock Arena: The Finale

As we wrap up our discussion on the S&P/BMV IPC CompMx Trailing Income Equities ESG Tilted Index, it is important to explore the context surrounding its recent performance and emphasize the cyclical dynamics of sector movements. In our previous blog, we examined how the index had underperformed relative to the broader S&P/BMV IPC as of…

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Nov 13, 2025

Animal Spirits or Anxiety?

Big Tech and the strength of the Magnificent 7 stocks have powered the S&P 500® to 36 all-time closing highs through the end of October. Amid the euphoria, nervousness about the AI boom1 has sent jitters through the market, most recently with SoftBank’s sale of its stake in Nvidia. The extreme level of mega-cap dominance…

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Nov 12, 2025

Fixed Income Funds and Their Fortunes

Global fixed income markets have been buffeted by tariff-related tensions and inflation concerns coupled with monetary policy uncertainty, with many central banks cutting rates, Japan in tightening mode and the U.S. Fed ending its quantitative tightening program. Focusing on the U.S. and Europe, sovereign yield curves in both regions have steepened since late 2024, with…

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Oct 29, 2025

Diversification across Durations

The S&P 500® surged to a third all-time closing high on Oct. 28, 2025, up 18% YTD. But the ride for U.S. equity investors has not always been a smooth one, with the index recouping sharp losses from earlier in the month on renewed tariff-related concerns and regional bank losses, coupled with AI bubble1 jitters…

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Oct 14, 2025

Above Mexico’s Stock Arena: The Sequel

Since its launch in 2021, the S&P/BMV IPC CompMx Trailing Income Equities ESG Tilted Index has outperformed the S&P/BMV IPC, Mexico’s broad equity benchmark, by a cumulative 1.33% (see Exhibit 1). Additionally, the index achieved a higher S&P Global ESG Score of 60 compared to the S&P/BMV IPC’s score of 57. However, as of Aug….

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Sep 30, 2025

Skewing Success

The results from our SPIVA® U.S. Mid-Year 2025 Scorecard demonstrate a relatively better start to the year for active managers, with 54% of U.S. large-cap funds underperforming the S&P 500®, slightly better than the 65% reported in 2024. However, Exhibit 1 shows that over the more than 24-year history of our SPIVA U.S. Scorecard, majority…

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Sep 12, 2025

Wrapping Up the 2024 SPIVA Institutional Scorecard

For over 20 years, the S&P Indices versus Active (SPIVA®) U.S. Scorecard has assessed how active mutual fund managers perform against their relevant S&P Dow Jones Indices benchmarks across various timeframes and asset classes. The scorecard’s methodology was enhanced in 2015 to include institutional accounts and was further extended in 2023 to include separately managed…

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