Indexology^® Blog

For decades, the U.S. dollar bond market has been the undisputed first choice for global issuers due to ease of access for global investors, scale of funding and underlying liquidity. However, growing uncertainties in the U.S. fiscal landscape are challenging the Treasury market’s status as the world’s primary safe-haven asset. As we move through 2025, there are certainly some powerful tailwinds gathering behind Asian local currency fixed income. A growing number of both issuers and investors are now recognizing the compelling stability and relative value offered within Asia’s increasingly vibrant bond markets.

Some market perspectives are also evolving beyond the traditional “Asia ex-Japan” perspective, with discussions expanding to include the local currency bond markets of Australia and Japan to create a more comprehensive Asia-Pacific focus. By including the large, liquid and high quality government bond markets of Japan and Australia, this broader Asia-Pacific scope may enhance overall diversification and credit quality.

Year-to-date (as of June 30, 2025), the performance of U.S. Treasuries (up 3.77%, as represented by the iBoxx $ Treasuries) has lagged our flagship Asian local currency indices (see Exhibit 1). The iBoxx Asian Bond Fund (ABF) Pan-Asia (USD Unhedged), made up of sovereign and quasi-sovereign bonds from eight Asian local markets,¹ was up 8.13% YTD, while the iBoxx Asian Local Bond Index (ALBI) (USD Unhedged), made up predominantly of sovereign and quasi-sovereign bonds (approximately 95%) from 10 Asian markets,² gained 7.66%. For the same period, both the Australian and Japanese bond markets, represented by the S&P/ASX iBoxx Australian & State Governments Index (USD Unhedged) and iBoxx Global Government Japan (USD Unhedged), also outperformed U.S. Treasuries, gaining 9.60% and 6.40%, respectively.

Performance from a Diversification Perspective

Over the past 10 years, Asia-Pacific local currency bond indices have shown only a low-to-moderate correlation to U.S. Treasuries, demonstrating their diversification characteristics (see Exhibit 2). The iBoxx ALBI and iBoxx ABF Pan-Asia indices both had a correlation of approximately 0.50 against the iBoxx $ Treasuries, while the relationship was even weaker for Australian (0.45) and Japanese (0.43) government bonds.

A Look from the FX Angle

With the development of Asian (and Asia-Pacific) markets in recent years, the region is no longer being seen as simply an emerging market allocation, with its growing complexity and diverse performance profiles coming into focus.

For global investors, total return is driven not just by yield, but also by capital gains from bond price appreciation. Crucially, the added exposure to foreign exchange (FX) when investing in Asia-Pacific local markets, in favorable market conditions, may serve as a potent source of excess returns.

Exhibit 3 demonstrates the crucial role of FX in local currency bond markets. As shown, appreciation against the U.S. dollar has been one of the key drivers of performance across the Asia-Pacific region this year, excluding only the Hong Kong dollar (which is pegged to the U.S. dollar) and Indonesian rupiah. In fact, for markets like South Korea and Singapore, the FX gains were so substantial that they surpassed capital and accrual gains, highlighting currency as a key performance component YTD.

Looking Ahead

The sheer diversity of the Asia-Pacific fixed income market presents both a challenge and an opportunity.  This brings us to the road ahead. With the broad theme of de-dollarization set to continue, will Asia ex-Japan or Asia-Pacific local currency fixed income catch the tailwind and gain from this wave?

To keep up with the performance of our suite of Asia-Pacific fixed income indices, please see our monthly APAC Fixed Income dashboard.

¹ iBoxx ABF Pan-Asia consists of eight eligible local Asian markets, including China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand

² The iBoxx ALBI consists of 10 eligible local Asian markets, including China Onshore, China Offshore, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand

With the power to disrupt traditional computing paradigms, quantum computing has become a focal point of both industrial transformation and investor enthusiasm.¹ Its capacity to execute complex calculations at unmatched speeds unlocks a myriad of possibilities. To track this evolving space of quantum technologies, S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) launched the S&P Kensho Global Quantum Computing Technologies Index, which measures the performance of global companies producing proof-of-concept or commercialized quantum computing technologies, as well as producers of the sub-components that are vital to the development and operation of quantum computers.

From Bits to Qubits: The Growth of Quantum Computing

Quantum computing is a transformative technology that uses quantum physics to address complex problems. Unlike classical bits that represent 0 or 1, quantum bits (qubits) leverage superposition to represent both simultaneously. When entangled, qubits enable quantum computers to tackle complex calculations beyond classical reach.

Currently, quantum solutions are best suited for specific problem types, and while the broader impact is still on the horizon, key technical challenges are being actively explored.²

Prominent areas where quantum computing applications are being actively researched and deployed include cybersecurity, supply chain optimization and drug discovery.³, ⁴

The global quantum computing industry is experiencing rapid growth, with its market value estimated to be at USD 1.79 billion as of January 2025, with a projected CAGR of 31.64%, potentially reaching USD 7.08 billion by 2030.⁵ Investments from both government and private sectors are surging, with billions of dollars dedicated to research and development.⁶

S&P Kensho Global Quantum Computing Technologies Index

The S&P Kensho Global Quantum Computing Technologies Index tracks companies producing quantum computing technologies as well as producers of the sub-components and materials that are applicable to the development and operation of quantum computers. The index includes companies from across the value chain of developing and deploying quantum computing technologies (see Exhibit 1).

• Quantum Hardware: This encompasses quantum computers and the materials and equipment they rely on, such as quantum chips, processors, circuits, sensors, networks, superconducting technology and quantum bits. Notable companies include IonQ, specializing in quantum computer development, and Lam Research, which manufactures semiconductor processing equipment.
• Software and Systems: This includes operating systems, quantum algorithms, programming languages and systems that facilitate quantum simulations and calculations. D-Wave Quantum is a key player, providing quantum computing systems, software and services globally.
• Quantum-Computing-as-a-Service (QCaaS): Rigetti Computing exemplifies this area by offering quantum processing units (QPUs) and systems through cloud-based QCaaS products.
• Sub-Components and Materials: This category includes quantum cryptography, simulators, emulators and cryogenic infrastructure essential for quantum chip development. Honeywell stands out for its automation and control technologies that support cryogenic applications.

The index utilizes Kensho’s natural language processing (NLP)-based platform, along with S&P Global’s extensive company documents dataset to tag companies relevant to the evolving field of quantum computing.

Index Composition and Performance

The S&P Kensho Global Quantum Computing Technologies Index currently consists of 23 constituents, with a significant 80% weight attributed to U.S.-domiciled companies (see Exhibit 2).

Based on back-tested data, the S&P Kensho Global Quantum Computing Technologies Index has outperformed the S&P 500^® by an annualized return of 21.68% over the past three years, albeit with increased volatility (see Exhibit 3). This performance has come with asset growth, with nearly USD 2 billion in assets under management (AUM) in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking the Quantum Computing theme.⁷

Conclusion

As a benchmark for this rapidly advancing quantum computing field, the S&P Kensho Global Quantum Computing Technologies Index tracks the progress of a transformative technology that has the potential to reshape multiple areas of the economy.

¹   Separating the wheat from the chaff: Quantum technology in an era of hype

²   Quantum Computing: Applications and Challenges

³   What is Quantum Security and how does it Work?

⁴   The Quantum Supply Chain: Mapping the Market and Key Players

⁵   Quantum Computing Market Outlook 2025-2030, with Profiles

⁶   Benchmarking Quantum Technology Performance: Governments, Industry, Academia and their Role in Shaping our Technological Future

⁷ Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and Morningstar as of July 11, 2025.

In the first half of 2025, global equities faced significant volatility, primarily driven by developments related to U.S. tariffs. Steep declines between February and April were followed by a swift recovery, and the S&P Global BMI ultimately finished with a solid 10.0% return. U.S. equities underperformed, breaking their streak of extended outperformance, as the S&P 500^® rose by only 6.2% in U.S. dollar terms (and rose significantly less or declined in most other major currency terms due to notable depreciation of the U.S. dollar). Meanwhile, influenced in part by declining oil prices, MENA equities are on track to record a third consecutive year of underperformance, with the S&P Pan Arab Composite posting a modest YTD return of 4.1% by the year’s midpoint.

A trend reversal was also observed in the relative performance of Shariah-compliant benchmarks, which underperformed their conventional counterparts across the board. The S&P Global BMI Shariah and Dow Jones Islamic Market (DJIM) World Index trailed their conventional equivalents in H1 by 3.9% and 4.3%, respectively (see Exhibit 1). This shift follows a cumulative outperformance of over 14% in the previous five years.

Drivers of Shariah Index Performance in H1 2025

The underperformance of Shariah benchmarks is analyzed through a sector lens in Exhibit 2. Financials contributed the largest negative excess return of -2.6%, primarily due to the outperformance of non-Shariah-compliant financial companies—such as conventional banks, brokerage firms and asset managers—relative to their Shariah-compliant counterparts. Meanwhile, telecommunications companies, which typically hold lower weightings in Shariah benchmarks due to their higher levels of indebtedness, outperformed during the market turbulence, contributing to the negative excess return by the Communication Services sector.

Global Sukuk Rallied

Global fixed income markets had a strong run in H1, bolstered by moderating inflation and expectations of further rate cuts. U.S. dollar-denominated investment grade bonds and sukuk, as measured by the iBoxx $ Overall Index and Dow Jones Sukuk Index (ex-Reinvestment), both delivered solid returns of 4.0%. With improving global liquidity conditions, the issuance of foreign-currency-denominated sukuk is expected to continue growing, thereby supporting high financing needs in core Islamic economies in 2025.¹

This article was first published in IFN Volume 22 Issue 28 dated July 16, 2025.

¹ See “Islamic Finance 2025-2026: Resilient Growth Amid Upcoming Headwinds”, S&P Ratings, April 2025.

Meet the Cambridge Associates Private Markets Benchmark Calculator, a new tool designed to help investors make more informed decisions and bring greater clarity and deeper insights to private markets.

As the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hovers above 4.0%, it’s possible that market participants can find yields without assuming excessive risk. However, a significant challenge remains: protecting against inflation and preserving purchasing power. For example, due to inflation, USD 1,000 in December 2005 was equivalent to only USD 606 as of June 2025. In contrast, dividend strategies can be appealing, since companies often grow their dividends over time and offer the potential for capital appreciation.

In June 2021, S&P DJI launched the S&P Dividend Growers Indices. The S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index tracks companies within the S&P United States BMI universe that have consistently increased their regular cash dividends per share annually for 10 consecutive years. To avoid value traps, the index excludes the top 25% of highest-yield ranked stocks from its universe.¹ In this blog, we will examine the historical dividend growth, as well as risk and return statistics for this index, highlighting its tendency to track higher quality companies.

Dividend Growth versus Inflation

Over the long term, the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index has increased its dividends at a rate that exceeds inflation, thereby preserving purchasing power. From 2006 to 2025, the dollar dividends for this index grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.46%, easily outpacing the Consumer Price Index (CPI)² inflation rate during the same period.

Equity Participation with Defensive Qualities

While income-oriented investors may gravitate toward bonds for their predictable interest payments and return of principal at maturity, dividend strategies offer regular cash flows through dividends, along with the added benefit of equity participation. Over the past 15 years, the S&P U.S. Treasury Bond 10+ Year Index underperformed the CPI, with an annualized return of just 2.23%. In contrast, the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index showed a notable annualized return of 13.38% over the same period.

Moreover, the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index delivered this performance with defensive qualities, indicating that companies capable of consistently growing their dividends may be of higher quality. As shown in Exhibit 2, the index has demonstrated lower volatility than the S&P United States BMI across all periods studied, allowing it to outperform its benchmark on a risk-adjusted basis. Historical capture ratios indicate that the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index had strong participation in up markets,³ while delivering substantial outperformance during down markets.

Defensive Traits with Quality and Value Tilts

In Exhibit 3, we used the Fama-French Three-Factor Model⁴ and AQR Quality⁵ factors to analyze the historical returns of the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index. The factor loading estimates and associated t-statistics reveal that the index constituents exhibited positive exposures to lower beta (less than 1), larger size, higher value and higher quality. The empirical results indicate that the index exhibited more defensive characteristics (lower risk), along with superior quality and valuation features compared to the overall market. High quality fundamentals serve as the foundation for consistent dividend increases.

Summary

With its consistent dividend growth, the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index has exhibited dividend growth that has outpaced inflation while delivering strong performance in terms of both absolute and risk-adjusted returns.

¹   For further information about the index, please see S&P Dividend Growers Index Series  Methodology.

²   U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL.

³ The market is defined as the monthly performance of the underlying benchmark from March 31, 2006, to June 30, 2025.

⁴ Fama, E. F. and K.R. French. “Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics. 33: 3–56. 1993.

⁵ Cliff Asness, Andrea Frazzini and Lasse H. Pedersen. “Quality Minus Junk.” Review of Accounting Studies. 2013.