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Tag Archives: The Landscape of Risk

Mar 10, 2016

Volatility, Short- and Long-term

This morning’s Financial Times highlighted a study of market volatility suggesting that return and volatility are inversely related — that “the correct response to an increase in volatility…is to exit the market.” This is certainly true in the short run, as the table below confirms. In months when the realized volatility of the S&P 500 was above…

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Dec 29, 2014

How Hell Freezes Over

Between Christmas and New Year, the familiar roar of events turns staccato and the market is gently buffeted by meager trading volumes; the relentless pursuit of profit that agitates the flight of global capital is sedated.  The books are largely closed; the offices of major financial institutions are staffed by fragile acolytes bereft of their titans.  Decisions, if…

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Dec 17, 2014

Blood in the bourses of Moscow

Things are not all well with Russian equities.  The S&P Russia Broad Market Index has lost more than half its value in U.S. dollar terms since the summer.  There is figurative blood on the streets.  If we were to follow the example of the founding members of the Rothschild banking dynasty, we would be lending…

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