Get Indexology® Blog updates via email.


Tag Archives: GDP growth

Sep 12, 2019

Using Sectors To Express Views

The S&P 500® is up 21.42% year-to-date and is within striking distance of its all-time high.  Although this may suggest the presence of a strong “risk-on” environment, there are signs that the bull market’s stride is changing.  Defensive assets have fared relatively well amid concerns over economic growth and trade tensions, while the inversion of…

READ

Dec 18, 2018

Large Caps Lag In Rebounds

The entire U.S, equity market lost on Monday, Dec. 17, 2018, meaning every one of the 42 segments by size, sector and style finished negative for the day.  This was the second day in a row with losses across the board.  From Oct. 10-11, 2018 was the last time two consecutive days with all losses…

READ

Jul 27, 2018

In Small Caps, Financials Rise Most From GDP Growth

On Friday morning the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) for Q2 2018 is set to be announced, and the consensus estimate from the Wall Street Journal survey of more than 60 economists is at 4.1%, the highest (actual) growth since Q3 2014.  Although forecasts greatly vary this quarter, the main factors likely influencing growth are tax policy, retail…

READ

Jun 15, 2018

Women May Nurse This Old Stock Market Bull

“Not enough progress has been made in closing the gender gap, and in fact, in some countries, you have seen gender inequality increasing…” – Ángel Gurría, secretary-general of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). This was the opening of a recent speech at #WomenRule by Politico on a paper newly published by S&P…

READ

Jun 4, 2018

Small Caps Beating Large By The Most In 16 Years

Small caps just outperformed large caps for three consecutive months for the first time since Sep. 2016.  From Feb. through May, the S&P SmallCap 600 (TR) outpaced the S&P 500 (TR) by 9.5%. It is the biggest premium realized in a three month period since the three months ending in May 2002.  In fact, outperformance this big has only happened…

READ

Mar 1, 2018

Where May Equities Go From Here?

February ended the longest historical monthly winning streak of 15 months for the S&P 500 (TR) that lost 3.7%.  On a total return basis for the month, 10 of 11 sectors lost, which has only happened in 12 of 342 months or 3.5% of the time (all 11 lost together in 13 months for a…

READ

Feb 14, 2018

3 Reasons To Love Equities When Rates Are Rising

Equities haven’t been the most lovable asset class lately but there are reasons to love them despite these prickly times.  The first reason to love equities in rising rate times is that they have gained significantly. Since 1971, the S&P 500 (TR) has gained about 20% on average in rising rate periods, has gained 8 of…

READ

Jan 30, 2018

Capturing Global Market Gains Using U.S. Sectors

Almost a decade after the global financial crisis, the S&P Global BMI (Broad Market Index), a measure of the global stock market has gained 234.4% from its bottom on March 9, 2009.  As of January 26, 2018, the index level was 33.7% above its pre-crisis high that happened on October 31, 2007.  Interestingly, the current…

READ

Jan 25, 2018

Small Caps Need No Style To Accelerate With GDP

The first estimate of US GDP for the fourth quarter is set to be released this Friday and the median forecast is 3.0% according to MarketWatch, which if met or exceeded will be the first time 3 consecutive quarters to show at least 3% growth since the first quarter of 2005.  While this is supportive…

READ

Apr 20, 2016

Metals Don’t Reflect Chinese Demand Growth

After China reported year-over-year first-quarter growth that showed signs of improvement, it overpowered negative news of the Doha oil production meeting failure and sent commodities rallying. Investors’ attention quickly shifted from oil to the other economically sensitive sector, industrial metals. Many believe the uses for metals in construction and automobile manufacturing are the driving force behind the sector….

READ


Get Indexology® Blog updates via email.

Indexology® Blog
Contributors

SEE ALL