Tag Archives: DJCI

The Scary Thing About Falling Oil Prices

I don’t believe what the gas experts say, “that there is nowhere for gas prices to go but down.” After another bloodshed month for crude oil as evidenced by the S&P GSCI Crude Oil return of -10.9% in Oct, bringing it down 24.6% off its high on June 20, one might get excited about further savings Read more […]

The Great Barrier To Commodities Down Under

This week I am in Australia meeting with investors about commodities.  Usually when I visit a heavy natural resource producing country, the conversations flow easily since the locals understand commodities.  We have been discussing farms, coal, iron ore and tin – subjects that engulf the culture of the locals.  The Australians seem to know all Read more […]

Keep Calm and Understand Scotland’s Oil Impact

Will Scotland vote to become independent? That’s a big question, especially for the future of commodity indices.  This is since one of the largest commodities in the indices is Brent crude oil – the oil produced in the North Sea off of Scotland’s coast.  If Scotland separates from the United Kingdom, there may be consequences Read more […]

Picking Factors Beats Picking Winners

If you were to ask a few commodity experts what is going on with precious metals (like an attendee did at our 8th annual commodities conference), the answer is long-winded since the story is different for each commodity.  A few years back, the answer was far more simple where it depended on the RORO environment that Read more […]

Russia, Where’s The Wheat?

Wheat lost more than 8% in July from the near perfect weather that brought the agriculture sector down to its lowest in four years.  Now, in the first week of August the DJCI All Wheat Total Return is already up 5.4% MTD through Aug 7, despite a 1.2% loss for the day. However, Russia’s food trade ban has implications that Read more […]

Fed Up With High Prices? July Opened A Window of Opportunity

After much economic activity this week, the Fed announced inflation moved “somewhat closer” to the objective and is showing signs of firming after running below its 2% target for the past two years.  In the last June report from the United States Department of Labor, food prices continued to increase although at a slower pace and unleaded gasoline prices had Read more […]

Now Your Penny Is Worth More: It’s What’s On The Inside That Counts

Do you know what is inside that seemingly copper penny? It may be more valuable than you think. I’ll give you a hint: It rhymes with think. Inside the industrial metals, we usually speak of copper and aluminum, especially in the context of the spread trade where it seems aluminum is perpetually more abundant than Read more […]

Weighing In: On Diversification

Diversification is one of the main reasons investors use commodities in their portfolios. Despite the fact that in only 4 years since 1970 did commodities and equities drop in the same year (1981, 2001, 2008, 2011), investors lost confidence in commodities as a diversifier as the correlation spiked with equities after the crisis. That confidence is starting to Read more […]

Climate Change May Destroy The Risk Premium

I fear the risk premium for agriculture and livestock may vanish sometime soon as climate change and El Nino drive up food prices. When investing in commodities as an asset class there are five components of return to be earned by using futures. While each component’s contribution to performance varies through time depending on the Read more […]

Weighing In: On Inflation

In my last post, I introduced a series called “Weighing In:” that includes comparisons of the effectiveness of the Dow Jones Commodity Index (DJCI) and the S&P GSCI to reach certain portfolio goals.  Although there are a number of reasons investors use commodities, diversification and inflation protection are the two most common. According to Blu Putnam, Managing Read more […]