Tag Archives: correlation

Some Inconvenient Truths

Today’s Wall Street Journal brought the latest in a string of articles suggesting that we have entered a period of particular opportunity for active investment management — a so-called “stock-picker’s market.”  Because the average correlation of stocks within the S&P 500 or other major indices has declined, it’s argued, “active managers are going to do Read more […]

Dispersion and Correlation: Which is “Better?”

We recently introduced the concept of dispersion, which measures the average difference between the return of an index and the return of each of the index’s components.  In times of high dispersion, the gap between the best performers and the worst performers is relatively wide; when dispersion is low, the performance gap narrows.  Today’s dispersion Read more […]

Low Dispersion Implies Low Value Added

Understanding a market’s dispersion provides important insights into its internal dynamics and the opportunities and pitfalls that might await both active and passive investors.  Dispersion measures the average difference between the return of an index and the return of each of the index’s components.  In times of high dispersion, the gap between the best performers Read more […]

Getting Grim For Gold Miners?

If you are worried that gold prices are falling, the prognosis could be much worse for gold miner stocks. Although many investors believe the performance of gold miners is just like the performance of gold, this is not quite the case.  If investors look at correlations alone to determine they are getting their gold exposure Read more […]

Fear Gauge Spikes: Let’s Play Hot Potato

For what risk does the commodity investor get paid? At what point is the fear gauge so high the risk gets passed like a hot potato? The answers to these questions will help explain why post the global financial crisis there has been a link between VIX spikes and commodity losses. Let’s address the first Read more […]

CPI Rises in May: How much inflation protection have commodities provided?

After two months of deflation, headline CPI (Consumer Price Index) gained 0.1% in May, marking its second positive reading in at least the past seven months. Over the past 12 months, CPI inflation is up 1.4%, accelerating from April’s 1.1% reading. http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm Historically, commodities as an asset class have had positive correlation to inflation. In the Read more […]