Tag Archives: S&P 500

What is VIX Predicting about Future Volatility?

VIX® closed last night at 11.33.  What, if anything, does that mean? We recently published a research paper, together with a more digestible practitioner’s guide, that provides a method for converting a given VIX level into an expectation for S&P 500® volatility over the next 30 days.  Exhibit 1 shows that these estimates have provided Read more […]

Considering Factor Rotation Within the S&P 500 Universe

While 2017 is winding down with volatility levels at historical lows, a calmness has remained in the market for quite some time. According to Fei Mei Chan, Director of Index Investment Strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices, the S&P 500 is on track for its least volatile year in 22 years. With volatility (or lack Read more […]

Nine of Eleven U.S. Equity Sectors Gained Despite Size

In November, mid-caps led the U.S. equity market with the S&P 400 gaining 3.68%, followed by small-caps in the S&P 600 that gained 3.52% and large-caps in the S&P 500 that gained 3.07%. The S&P 500 logged its 13th consecutive positive month, the longest streak in its monthly history ever (data going back to Oct. Read more […]

The Trump Rally – Or Is That Global Sector Diversification?

This is the final post in our blog series that examines the domestic large-cap equity market performance, as represented by the S&P 500®, since the 2016 U.S. election.[1] We use the geographic revenue exposure of S&P 500 constituents to better understand whether or not Trump’s proposed U.S.-centric economic policies have had an impact on the Read more […]

Why Mixing Media With Telecom Grows Communication

The means by which we communicate has grown over the past several years as a result of integration between telecommunications, media, and internet companies.  In response, S&P Dow Jones Indices and MSCI recently announced the expansion of the Telecommunications Services Sector into a new Communication Services Sector to be implemented after the close on Friday, September 28, 2018.  While the companies Read more […]

How Low Can Volatility Go?

There’s still some time remaining in 2017, but if it goes the way the year has thus far, this will be the least volatile year for the S&P 500 in 22 years. Given this context, selection to the S&P 500® Low Volatility Index (an index of the 100 least volatile stocks in the S&P 500) Read more […]

The Trump Rally – One Year Later

The results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election, which were widely considered surprising, had many market participants believing that the proposed economic policies of Donald Trump, “Trumponomics”, would be swiftly implemented.  During his campaign run, Trump called for tax cuts, reduced corporate regulations, increased foreign trade tariffs, and increased defense and infrastructure spending.[1]  Initial expectations Read more […]

A Study of the Classics – Part 1

During a recent retreat to the Blue Ridge Mountains, I picked up a copy of Outside Magazine’s 40th Anniversary issue.  Nursing two fingers of bourbon, I paged through their feature on the seven most classic pieces of adventure gear.  Generally, it’s a great list.  Number 4, Ray-Ban Aviators?  Absolutely.  Number 7, Birkenstock sandals?  Yeah…no.  But Read more […]

What Are Large-Cap Active Managers Up To? A Decomposition of Their Active Sector and Factor Bets (Part I)

The SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2017 Scorecard shows that the relative performance of actively managed domestic equities funds across large-, mid-, and small-cap segments has improved in recent months.  For example, only 56.56% of large-cap equity managers underperformed the S&P 500® for the one-year period, whereas 84.62% underperformed the benchmark at mid-year 2016.[1]  More importantly, when Read more […]

Impact of Allocation and Security Selection Decisions on Active Fund Performance: Evidence from the U.S. SPIVA Scorecard

The release of the SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2017 Scorecard provided a welcoming dose of optimism for proponents of active management.  One statistic, which was picked up heavily by financial media (Financial Times Article) and market participants, is that 52.49% of All Domestic Funds managed to beat the S&P Composite 1500® (the designated benchmark).  The conversation Read more […]