Where’s all the volatility gone?

Last month, as in many this year, the majority of developed markets eked out respectable gains. The S&P 500® closed May at a new high, as did the S&P Global 1200 index of worldwide large cap equities. The S&P Europe 350 nudged up to levels not seen since 2007. All would appear to be going Read more […]

The Gold War of India’s Policy vs. U.S. Economy

The S&P GSCI Gold lost 3.9% in May and has hit its lowest index level since January. This questions whether gold can recover after its biggest historical drop since 1981.  According to the Federal Reserve, the U.S. economy is strengthening, labor market conditions are improving and inflation has been low in the expanding economy.  According to Read more […]

U.S. Investment Grade Corporates Are Performing Well, Does A Euro Rate Cut Follow The Recent Dip?

The month of May closed on a high note for bonds as the drop in yields saw the S&P/BGCantor Current 10 Year U.S. Treasury Index closed at a yield of 2.47%.  Treasuries as measured by the S&P/BGCantor U.S. Treasury Bond Index returned 0.7% for the month and 2.12% year-to-date. As of today, the yield on Read more […]

Something’s Missing in the Housing Recovery

The two most popular comments about the housing recovery are that it’s weak and the reason why GDP growth is so slow.  There is some truth to both of these — the problem is new single family homes. Looking across housing, one sees surprisingly strong construction of apartments, progress in working through the backlog of Read more […]

After May Showers, CDS Markets Are Feeling Sunny About Summer

Over the course of a month when Mother Nature could not decide which season it was in New York City, credit market swap (CDS) market participants as a whole decided credit default insurance was too high. CDS benchmark indices like the S&P/ISDA U.S. 150 Credit Spread Index tightened 4.9%. Every sector spread that compiles the Read more […]

Building the Indian Skyline

Since the global recession in 2008, India has been witnessing a slower real growth. Despite being a labor surplus country, India lacks adequate infrastructure to sustain the growth of labor-intensive industries which provide employment to the unskilled to semi-skilled workforce. The Global Competitiveness Index published by World Economic Forum placed India on the 3rd position Read more […]

The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Levels Not Seen Since Last June

The last time the yield of the S&P/BGCantor Current 10 Year U.S. Treasury Bond Index was in the neighborhood of 2.4% was back in June 2013. The days of a 1% handle on rates are behind us, but the current lower rates harken back before this year. The beginning of 2014 saw yields as high Read more […]

Another Double-digit Pay Raise (it’s not just executives)

S&P 500 DIVIDENDS ON TRACK FOR DOUBLE-DIGIT INCREASE IN CASH PAYMENTS IN 2014: PAID 5 MO MAY,’14 + CURRENT DECLARED RATE FOR THE NEXT 7 MO = 10.5% INCREASE OVER 2013 Absent quick dividend cuts, it would appear we are past the point of not posting a double-digit gain in actual cash dividends payments for Read more […]

Today’s Economic Indicators not moving the dial on yields.

The yield on the S&P/BGCantor Current 10 Year U.S. Treasury Index since its step down on May 13th as a result of Retail Sales has remained in a range of 2.48% to 2.58%.  There are a number of economic releases scheduled to follow the U.S. Memorial Day Holiday.  Today’s reporting of Durable Goods Orders (0.8% versus Read more […]

Initial Q1,’14 S&P 500 stats:

With 95% of EPS reported and approximately 80% of the data items collected via S.E.C. documents: Buybacks: Buybacks are on track to be the second highest on record, as more companies do Share Count Reduction (SCR), therefore giving their EPS a tailwind. With over 90% of the issues reported, 119 issues have decreased their share Read more […]