Category Archives: S&P 500 & DJIA

Are you celebrating 101010101010?

News that the Dow broke through 25,000 yesterday was not universally celebrated.  A market index achieved a specific numerical barrier — so what?  The importance of such events is at best anecdotal, and their celebration in the media is increasingly regarded as humbug.  Is there any truth – one might ask – to the theory Read more […]

Hey, Dow Industrials. I have other work to do, ya know.

Yet here I am, writing about the DJIA crossing through yet another 1,000 point milestone – 25,000, no less – a mere 23 trading days after the last one and right on the tail of the 5 successive 1000 point marks achieved last year. With the 152.45 points (0.61%) gained during today’s session, the Dow Read more […]

The Smartest Beta

In the last year, plain old beta performed remarkably well in comparison to the so-called “smart” alternatives tracking large-cap U.S. equities.  Of the 17 different strategies reported in our year-end factor dashboard, less than a third outperformed the S&P 500’s total return of 21.83% over the last 12 months. When they are criticized as the Read more […]

It’s a New Day

Yesterday, the first markets day of the New Year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average® continued its advance, finishing up 104.79 points for a 0.42% gain. How does that stack up against the post-holiday return to trading in prior years? Meh…it was nothing special. Not to look a gift horse in the mouth, mind you. A Read more […]

Large Caps and Growth Outperformed By Most Since 1999

In December, the S&P 500 (TR) gained 1.1%, posting its 14th consecutive monthly gain, the longest monthly streak on record (data since Sep. 1989.) Also, the S&P MidCap 400 (TR) gained 0.2%, while the S&P SmallCap 600 (TR) lost 0.5%, bringing the 2017 performance to a respective 21.8%, 16.2% and 13.2% for the S&P 500 (TR), S&P MidCap 400 Read more […]

The Top 10 Dow Jones Industrial Average Factoids – 2017 in Review

OK, that might be hyperbole.  This may not be the Top 10.  Let’s just say it’s a Top 10.  Regardless, it’s hard to deny that 2017 was a standout year for US equity markets.  To wit: At the Close – despite losing 118+ points during the final trading session, the DJIA ends the year at Read more […]

Financials Beating Tech Twice Is Rare, So Positioning Matters

Historically, the sectors of Information Technology (Tech) and Financials have moved in cycles with Tech mostly outperforming since 2008.  In the past 10 years (data ending Dec. 12, 2017,) Tech has outperformed annualized by 8.2% and the outperformance has been solid until last month.  The levels hit their widest spread on Nov. 27, but the Read more […]

What is VIX Predicting about Future Volatility?

VIX® closed last night at 11.33.  What, if anything, does that mean? We recently published a research paper, together with a more digestible practitioner’s guide, that provides a method for converting a given VIX level into an expectation for S&P 500® volatility over the next 30 days.  Exhibit 1 shows that these estimates have provided Read more […]

Nine of Eleven U.S. Equity Sectors Gained Despite Size

In November, mid-caps led the U.S. equity market with the S&P 400 gaining 3.68%, followed by small-caps in the S&P 600 that gained 3.52% and large-caps in the S&P 500 that gained 3.07%. The S&P 500 logged its 13th consecutive positive month, the longest streak in its monthly history ever (data going back to Oct. Read more […]

The DJIA Crosses 24k

Wow. It may not be experiencing quite the same year-to-date appreciation as bitcoin – nor its volatility, mind you – but by all accounts the Dow Jones Industrial Average has had a remarkable run in 2017.  And, powered Thursday by a gain of 331.67 points (+1.39%), it topped 24,000 for the first time in history. Read more […]