Financials Beating Tech Twice Is Rare, So Positioning Matters

Historically, the sectors of Information Technology (Tech) and Financials have moved in cycles with Tech mostly outperforming since 2008.  In the past 10 years (data ending Dec. 12, 2017,) Tech has outperformed annualized by 8.2% and the outperformance has been solid until last month.  The levels hit their widest spread on Nov. 27, but the Read more […]

The Sustainability Smile: An Adviser’s Guide to Defining Sustainable Investing Strategies

Why Sustainability? With seventy-five percent of investors reporting an interest in sustainable investing,[1] expertise in sustainable strategies can differentiate and add value to an adviser’s practice by allowing the adviser to better serve clients who wish to see their investments reflect their values or faith. “Sustainable” investing covers a broad spectrum of investment opportunities – Read more […]

From Crude to Refined: Evolution of Fossil Fuel Free Investing and the 2 Degree Pathway (Part I)

The discussions on the merits of carbon awareness investing are evolving and are highlighting a shift from the current data-driven carbon emission framework to a desire to move to a more sophisticated and analysis-driven carbon risk paradigm. Prior discussions would typically cover the scientific arguments regarding climate change and whether existing scientific evidence supported investor Read more […]

Active Managers: Hope for high dispersion, not just low correlations

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that, according to analysis by Credit Suisse, the correlation among S&P 500 sectors had fallen close to its lowest level ever, and that this was good for active equity managers, “who find it easier to make money betting on specific companies or trends when stocks aren’t all moving together.” Read more […]

Asian Fixed Income: Indonesian Sovereign Bonds Were the Big Winners in 2017

With the growing appetite for emerging market debt and in the hunt for better yields, Indonesian sovereign bonds have been popular this year. The strong rally has continued since the first quarter (see a previous piece here). The S&P Indonesia Sovereign Bond Index, which seeks to track the local currency denominated sovereign bonds, jumped 15.24% Read more […]

A Quick Look at Chilean Sovereign Bonds and Indices

The Public Debt Office is the cornerstone of debt strategies for the Ministry of Finance in Chile. It supports liquidity and ensures stability in the local financial market through issuance and placement of treasury bonds. In this context, the Public Debt Office establishes referential interest rates in order to facilitate access to capital markets for Read more […]

Vanishing Stocks

The number of stocks listed in the US is falling. Currently there are 3,758 listed stocks, ten years ago there were 4,500 and 20 years ago the number topped 7,400. The total value of the market, as measured by the total market capitalization of the S&P Total Market Index, continues to rise. As of yesterday Read more […]

What is VIX Predicting about Future Volatility?

VIX® closed last night at 11.33.  What, if anything, does that mean? We recently published a research paper, together with a more digestible practitioner’s guide, that provides a method for converting a given VIX level into an expectation for S&P 500® volatility over the next 30 days.  Exhibit 1 shows that these estimates have provided Read more […]

Considering Factor Rotation Within the S&P 500 Universe

While 2017 is winding down with volatility levels at historical lows, a calmness has remained in the market for quite some time. According to Fei Mei Chan, Director of Index Investment Strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices, the S&P 500 is on track for its least volatile year in 22 years. With volatility (or lack Read more […]

Rising Above the Noise in ESG: Green Bonds

The emergence of ethical and sustainable concerns and the need for environmental investing has come with a wide range of options for fixed income market participants to navigate. One approach has been to rely on evaluation metrics, or ratings that measure the environmental and social impact of companies’ operations. The main challenge of this approach Read more […]