The First 100 Days

In 100 days one can: Sequentially boil 48,000 three minute eggs Enjoy nearly 1,372 viewings of The Usual Suspects (a tally I’ll admit to being embarrassingly close to achieving) Assemble evidence to render an arbitrary judgment on the accomplishments of a newly-elected US President Tomorrow marks the end of Donald Trump’s first 100 days in Read more […]

Natural Resources, a Potential “Natural” Play on Higher Inflation Expectations

As the economy expands and inflation ticks up in the post-election world, fueled by a pledge by President Trump to increase fiscal spending with improvements to America’s crumbling infrastructure, market participants will have to keep in mind the negative effects of increasing prices.  They may want to consider hard-asset-related investments to help maintain the purchasing Read more […]

Skewered

When an investor buys a stock her largest possible loss is the money invested while the gain is unlimited.  Most investors avoid losing their entire investment, few investors make as much as they hoped. One result of this favorable bias is that the distribution of stock returns is usually skewed to the right. The sketch Read more […]

Have We Seen the Bottom in Japanese Bond Yields?

While the idea of reflation is picking up steam in global markets, Japan’s core consumer price index rose 0.2% in February 2017, which remained far below the target of 2% set by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The BoJ kept monetary policy steady in March 2017, continuing the diverging policy paths of central banks. In Read more […]

30 Year old S&P BSE SENSEX conquers the 30,000 mark

The much awaited 30,000 mark was conquered by the S&P BSE SENSEX on Apr. 26, 2017 where the index level closed at 30,133.35, while the total return index level closed at 42,503.33. It took 557 trading sessions to go from the 29,000 level to cross the 30,000 level.  The S&P BSE SENSEX was launched on Read more […]

The S&P GIVI Japan Posts Impressive Five-Year Live Track Record

The S&P GIVI (Global Intrinsic Value Index) Japan posted an impressive five-year live track record.  It is one of the few multi-factor indices in the market, and it was launched five years ago.  Since its launch in March 2012, the S&P GIVI Japan has outperformed its benchmark, the S&P Japan BMI, by 1.17% per year, Read more […]

Security Selection & Sector Allocation Effects of Equal Weighting the S&P 500®

Constituents of the S&P 500 Equal Weight (EW) and S&P 500 are identical, but the EW version is rebalanced quarterly so that every company has equal representation after the rebalance.  That often results in significantly different performance between the two indices, because equal weighting gives more representation to smaller stocks and alters the distribution of Read more […]

The Wrong Diagnosis

This morning’s Wall Street Journal described how “a $1.4 billion ETF gold rush” supposedly has disturbed the pricing of mining stocks around the world.  $1.4 billion turns out to be the incremental cash flow into a single exchange-traded fund designed to track an index of the gold mining industry, including some relatively small-capitalization companies.  These Read more […]

The Lifetime Income Disclosure Act of 2017

Earlier this month, both the Senate and the House introduced bipartisan legislation to amend the Employee Retirement Income Security Act that would mandate annual income disclosures on 401(k) and other defined contribution account documents.  The language in the legislation is identical to a bill introduced in 2009, early in the Obama administration.  This new effort Read more […]

Commodity Trends Boost Leveraged and Inverse Indices

In the context of declining commodity prices following the global financial crisis, inverse indices became popular for market participants looking to profit from negative returns. As the oil war unfolded and drove commodity prices further down, market participants took a renewed interest in using inverse indices to bet against the market. When commodities rebounded last Read more […]